Djokovic, Federer and Tsonga reach fourth round at French Open

published: Jun, 01, 2012

by: Nima Naderi

Roland Garros—Paris, France

World No. 3 Roger Federer survived some testy moments but reached the fourth-round of the French Open for the eighth straight year, defeating Frenchman Nicolas Mahut, 6-3, 4-6, 6-2, 7-5.

Not having his best serving day by any measure, Federer made 58 percent of his first serves in and committed three double faults. Striking 54 winners and 25 unforced errors, Federer will next face lucky loser David Goffin for a place in the quarterfinals. Goffin took out Lukasz Kubot 7-6(4), 7-5, 6-1.

Goffin, who is currently No. 109 in the world, had never reached the main draw of a major prior to Paris this year.

Elsewhere, No. 5 seed Jo-Wilfried Tsonga was impressive in defeating last year’s quarter-finalist Fabio Fognini, 7-5, 6-4, 6-4. Tsonga, who reached the fourth-round in Paris for the third time in the last four years, will next face Stanislas Wawrinka for a place in the quarters. Wawrinka defeated Gilles Simon 7-5, 6-7(5), 6-7(3), 6-3, 6-2 later in the day.

Twin towers Tomas Berdych and Juan Martin del Potro set up an enticing fourth-round clash after defeating Kevin Anderson and Marin Cilic, respectively.

Berdych overcame a two sets to one deficit against Anderson to prevail, 6-4, 3-6, 6-7(4), 6-4, 6-4 and del Potro continued his campaign by dismissing Cilic, 6-3, 7-6(7), 6-1.

Del Potro currently leads Berdych 3-2 in the pair’s head-to-head.

Italy’s Andreas Seppi continued his fine season by dispatching Fernando Verdasco, 7-5, 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 6-2. He’ll next face top seed Novak Djokovic, who was a late day winner over Nicolas Devilder 6-1, 6-2, 6-2.

Nima Naderi

http://www.tennisconnected.com

Founder and Creative Director of TennisConnected.com. He has over 25 years of coaching experience and is an award winning coach with the PTR. Nima has written articles for the ATPWorldTour.com, TennisCanada.com, TennisViewMagazine and Tennis Pro Magazine. He is also the co-host of the TennisConnected PodCast, the Operations Director for Premium Court and the Tournament Director for the Caribbean Cup Tennis Series.

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16 thoughts on “Projected 2012 top 10 ATP World Tour Rankings

  1. The only issue I have with your rankings Nima is the drop of David Ferrer. Expecting him to drop from 5 to outside the top 10 is a bit of a stretch. He produces consistent results and maintains his body very well, so unless something major happens such as an injury, I see him ending the year around 8 or 9, with a small drop. I like Isner in the top 10, but perhaps at 9 or 10, the jump from the teens to the top 10 is huge. I also agree with Milos making a large jump, but I see him finishing the year around the 12 or 13 range.

  2. “the week-to-week grind and consistency required to finish top 3 [isn’t there anymore] ” Didn’t Federer just do precisely that?

    Where’s David Ferrer and exactly when is Rafa going to beat Djokovic? Isner has no return game, how is going to be top 10? Dolgo and Raonic are also highly questionable. I predict that the top 10 will basically remain the same in 2012.

  3. um, what do you think David Ferrer will do next year? Retire? He will definitely finish the year in the Top 10!

  4. Hey I definately see the possibilty of this happening. Everything you said does make sense. Some players you have should improve and step up while some are going to fizzle out. But however, I do think ferrer will be in the top ten for his last year……..I think this year could be rogers last chance to get back at number one, or two. I feel that delpo is going to however be higher than five and maybe kick murray out of the four position. But we shall see in time. But anyway the only way to find out is to wait……………: )

  5. My quibbles:

    Dolgopolov: Too fragile in body. I forget which chronic illness he has, but whatever it is, he’s said that it makes it very hard to travel & to prep for tournaments. And he’s so inconsistent, which seems unlikely to change.

    Isner: Hard to see where noticeable improvement is going to come in a 6’10” man who is already pushing the boundaries of what his body can do and who predictably runs out of gas late in matches (strange to say given his Wimbie marathon, but still true). And I question whether the forehand is really all that good a shot – it is OK when he is not flubbing it, but given his poor movement, it’s not nearly the weapon that other top players possess.

    Relative positions of the top 4: I think this is very hard to predict. Djokovic may or may not have a problem shoulder – shoulders are hard to fix and his serving motion looks to be inherently more stressful than is the norm. Nadal should have his usual strong clay season, but he won’t be able to bring a Davis Cup mentality to the grind – his best hope is if Djokovic fades. Federer and Murray are question marks.

    The unknown: Can Delpo move not just to #5, but into the top 4? Hard to say here, because he too is a question mark given his comeback from injury has yet to get all the way there.

  6. No Ferrer? No dice. I think Isner will be in the Top 10 during 2012 but not end the year there, due to having few points in the first half of the year. Raonic will fall initially due to the stack of points but get past that stretch to finish in the Top 10. I can’t see Dolgopolov there, especially since he’ll drop early due to his AO run. Once players get used to him, there is a clear strategy.

    I also have one question: you say that there won’t be a breakthrough Slam winner but immediately say the top 4 dominance stays. I would have been curious if you were implying Murray will win a Slam or not.

  7. Dude, seriously?? Where is Agassi or Sampras? I think Courier may make a run and will probably finish around 9. Mac is riddled with injuries but if he gets his temper under control he is a definite top 5.

  8. I believe it´s open matter
    Rafa: out of shape end of the year – hadnt been playing well
    Nole: has a hard time finding his shape after the injury, but I believe his getting there
    Fed played well end of the year, but got his victories was because both Rafa and Nole was out of shape

    Where´s Ferrer???
    Where´s Mardy Fish???
    And I believe Tipsarevich is on his way up.

  9. My 2012 year-end rankings:

    1. Federer
    2. Nadal
    3. Djokovic
    4. Ferrer
    5. del Potro
    6. Murray
    7. Tsonga
    8. Berdych
    9. Roddick
    10. Soderling

  10. I can’t imagine Ferrer out of the top 10 completely (although I think he will fall a couple of notches for sure). I also can’t imagine Isner in the top 10 … he doesn’t move well enough to beat the big guys and he’s too inconsistent. He relies too much on winning tie breakers. Raonic will be interesting … If he gets through Jan/Feb in decent shape then he has real potential to pick up lots of points since he more or less did not pick up any points from the FO ’til late fall. That whole summer hardcourt season in N. America could be good for him … not to mention Wimby.

  11. Unless Rafa solves the Djoker’s riddle, he is not going to reclaim the number 1 ranking. He can tweak his schedule all he wants, but until he beats Novak, his mental inferiority will always show up on the scoreboard. You are correct in saying that Rafa has been a model of consistency the past few years. He was also very consistent last year in losing to the Djoker. His six losses to Novak were very telling of his consistency. It got really bad as the year went on; so bad that there was no doubt who was going to win Wimbledon and the USO.

  12. I think this is interesting how it’s panned out. What you have to remember is that Murray had overtaken Federer but at the end of the season, Murray, Djokovic & Nadal were injured and pulling out of tournaments. Federer won a lot of tournaments in the last few months but he wasn’t playing any of the top guys in the semi-finals or finals.

    Also, Murray has a new coach,

    Djokovic has lost his invincibility.

    Radal has a new raquet and is playing with a new serve against Djokovic so have to Fancy Rafa to regain the number 1 spot and Murray to move to 3rd. Also, one of these guys has to get injured for a slam at one point.

    French – Rafa
    Wimbledon – Rafa
    US – Murray

  13. wow, you were a bit off, weren’t you? Nadal, with his early exit from Wimbledon, and his current fake knee injury will have him at #4 at best.

  14. I am the biggest Rafa fan ever but cannot see him in the top four next year. As much as I dislike Djoker, he will be there – likely #1. Murray will be close behind. I don’t think Fed can hang in there for another year. Ferrer will overtake Nadal and I see him having his best year this coming season. Don’t count on Raonic (and this is coming from a Canadian) unless he can seriously get his game together. He is going to have to start defending points this year and then he could be in trouble. Dimitrov could rise to top 10. Tomic is too inconsistent and full of himself. I think Delpo will continue to improve and possibly Berdych could rise a little higher. I am very interested to see how Jerzey Janovic plays this year. I was VERY impressed with him in his last tournament. I say Isner and Tsonga and Tipsaravic will be out of the top ten for sure. My predictions:

    1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    3. DelPotro
    4. Ferrer
    5. Nadal
    6 Federer
    7. Berdych
    8. Monaco
    9. Dogopolov
    10.Dimitrov

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